January 31, 2012 in face offs, hockey stats, zone starts by davidjohnson
Just wanted to let you know that I have finally updated stats.hockeyanalysis.com to include 2011-12 data though I have not yet included multi-year data that includes 2011-12. I have also included in this updated zone start adjusted data which adjusts for zone starts by not considering the 10 seconds following an offensive/defensive zone faceoff. I [...]
Tags: Uncategorized
January 28, 2012 in fenwick, Michael Cammalleri, Scott Gomez, shooting percentage by davidjohnson
I have been having a discussion as to whether shot quality exists over at Pension Plan Puppets and more precisely whether certain players can drive a teams shooting percentage while they are on the ice. As part of the discussion I brought up the on-ice shooting percentage differences between Scott Gomez and Michael Cammalleri and decided [...]
Tags: corsi, Uncategorized
January 26, 2012 in defensemen, Franson, Gardiner, Komisarek, Liles, Phaneuf by davidjohnson
With the re-signing of John-Michael Liles the Leafs now have an abundance of defensemen signed under control for a number of years, many with big dollar contracts too. We all have our varying opinions on the relative values of each of these defensemen but I thought it would be an appropriate time to take a [...]
Tags: Gunnarsson, Schenn, Statistical Analysis, Toronto Maple Leafs, Uncategorized
January 25, 2012 in quality of competition, quality of teammates by davidjohnson
Whenever I get into a statistical debate over which player might be better than another the inevitable argument that comes up is “yeah, but player A plays against tougher competition and gets tougher assignments” which is a valid argument to make. But how valid? The other day I looked at a simple, straight forward method [...]
Tags: Statistical Analysis, Uncategorized
January 23, 2012 in zone start adjustment, zone starts by davidjohnson
One of the biggest omissions in my player rankings is making adjustments for zone start differences. We know that Manny Malhotra has a significant bias towards starting his shifts in the defensive zone and that his teammates Daniel and Henrik Sedin have a significant bias towards starting their shifts in the offensive zone. The result is Malhotra [...]
Tags: Statistical Analysis, Uncategorized
January 18, 2012 in Brian burke, mediocrity by davidjohnson
Brian Burke joined the Leafs in November of 2008. When he joined the Leafs he insisted he has no interest in a 5 year rebuild and expected he could make the team competitive much sooner. Let’s evaluate how Burke has done in his tenure as GM of the Maple Leafs. 2007-08 2011-12 GAA 3.08 (27th) [...]
Tags: Maple Leafs, Uncategorized
January 15, 2012 in bad defense, Capitals, eastern conference, Senators, success by davidjohnson
Not sure what led me to look into this but I took a look at poor defensive teams making the playoffs in the eastern conference. Over the past 3 seasons there have been just 6 teams to make the playoffs in the eastern conference with goals against averages greater than 2.80. They are: Tampa Bay [...]
Tags: Flyers, goaltending, Maple Leafs, playoffs, Uncategorized
January 14, 2012 in James Van Riemsdyk, Luke Schenn, player analysis, trade rumour by davidjohnson
There has been a lot of talk over the last 24 hours about the possibility of the Maple Leafs trading Luke Schenn to the Philadelphia Flyers for James van Riemsdyk? Personally, I’d seriously consider it and probably do it, but lets take a look at the numbers. Luke Schenn HARO+ HARD+ FenHARO+ FenHARD+ Ozone% 2011-12 [...]
Tags: Flyers, Maple Leafs, Uncategorized
January 12, 2012 in tim thomas, Tuukka Rask by davidjohnson
There is a post over at Backhand Shelf today that lists 10 backup goalies that have out performed their #1 counterparts. It is an interesting read but it may be a perfect example of how simple statistics don’t tell the whole story. The first pair of goalies on the list are the Bruins Tukka Rask [...]
Tags: boston bruins, goaltending, Statistical Analysis, Uncategorized